The Broncos will play one of the hottest teams in the NFL in Week 11 when the Dolphins come to Mile High Stadium. Let’s dive into our Broncos vs. Dolphins betting preview with odds, picks, and predictions.
Broncos vs. Dolphins Odds
The Broncos are the underdog for the 10th time this year and they are +3.5 on the spread and +160 on the moneyline against the Dolphins at FOX Bet Colorado and PointsBet. The total is at 45 as of November 16, 2024 1:18 AM
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Here are the current Broncos vs. Dolphins odds.
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | -3.5 (-110) | -188 | O 45 (-110) |
| Broncos | +3.5 (-110) | +160 | U 45 (-110) |
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Broncos-Dolphins Betting Preview
This Week 11 matchup features two teams trending in opposite directions. The Broncos (3-6) are in danger of dropping out of the playoff race entirely. Meanwhile, the Dolphins (6-3) are surging ahead in the playoff standings and are eyeing the AFC East crown.
The quarterback situation is similar to the overall situation each team faces. The Broncos are torn on starting Drew Lock or Brett Rypien, which is due, in part, to a rib injury Lock is dealing with, but he hasn’t looked the part of a franchise quarterback this year.
On the other sideline, the Dolphins have to be pleased with Tua Tagovailoa so far. Sure, he’s not lighting it up with his stats, but Miami is 3-0 since he took over and on a five-game winning streak after starting 1-3. Will the Dolphins continue their winning ways or will the Broncos finally show some life?
Find out in our Broncos vs. Dolphins betting preview with odds, picks, and predictions.
Broncos vs. Raiders Betting Trends
Why Backing The Broncos Makes Sense
Running The Football
The Broncos’ uncertainty at quarterback could offer a silver lining. If the coaching staff is unsure of who will be under center, it makes sense to build a gameplan predicated on running the football.
Denver’s two-headed monster of Melvin Gordon and Phillip Lindsay is capable of giving opposing defenses fits. Look for the Broncos to try and establish the run game early and control the pace of the game.
Miami’s run defense ranks 22nd in the NFL. This is clearly a weakness the Broncos can exploit if they play their cards right.
Drew Lock Is Better At Home
If Drew Lock does play on Sunday, the Broncos are lucky he’s going to be at Mile High. Although Denver hasn’t had much success at home this year (more on that later), Lock is a better quarterback on his home field. Lock’s passer rating is 21.9 points higher at home than on the road.
In his most recent home game, Lock played some of the best football of his career. He threw for three touchdowns in the second half to complete a thrilling 21-point comeback.
Why Backing The Dolphins Makes Sense
Against The Spread Dominance
No team in the NFL is better against the spread than the Miami Dolphins this year. It doesn’t matter who they throw out at quarterback, they usually find a way to cover. The Dolphins are currently 7-2 ATS.
Given the one-score spread and how well the Dolphins are playing right now, it makes sense to continue riding the hot hand. If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.
No Home Field Advantage
Generally speaking, Colorado teams have a distinct home field advantage that no other teams do. The high elevation and thin air always seems to have an effect on visiting teams no matter what the sport.
Unfortunately, the Broncos have not cashed in on this advantage much this year. They are currently 1-3 at home with the only win coming against the 2-7 Chargers. Conversely, Miami is 3-1 on the road with an impressive win against the Los Angeles Rams on their resumé.
Tagovailoa has experience playing in tough road environments from his time in the SEC. A mostly empty Mile High Stadium won’t fluster him.
How To Bet The Total
The over-under is set at a reasonable 45 on some sportsbooks. The Dolphins can score with their offense, defense, or special teams. Conversely, Lock has shown that he’s capable of leading big comebacks when his team is down at home.
If you’re considering a wager on the total points, we are leaning towards the over on this one.
Where Is The Money Going?
Here’s how the public is betting Broncos vs. Dolphins at DraftKings Sportsbook. Clearly, there isn’t much confidence in Denver to right the ship this weekend.
| Team | Spread | % Handle | % Bets | Over-Under | % Handle | % Bets | Moneyline | % Handle | % Bets |
| MIA Dolphins | -3.5 | 99% | 98% | Over 45.5 | 39% | 72% | -182 | 93% | 88% |
| DEN Broncos | +3.5 | 1% | 2% | Under 45.5 | 61% | 28% | +160 | 7% | 12% |
How to Watch Broncos vs. Raiders
- Date: Sunday, Nov. 22
- Time: 2:05 p.m. MT
- Location: Empower Field at Mile High (Denver, Colorado)
- TV: CBS
- Announcers: Kevin Harlan (play-by-play), Trent Green (game analyst), and Melanie Collins (sideline reporter)
Broncos vs. Dolphins Prediction
Sorry Broncos fans, we have to go with the public on this one. Even though the Dolphins have to travel west to Mile High, we can’t see the Broncos covering this spread. The Miami defense is on fire right now and whether it’s Lock or Rypien under center, they are going to have a tough time moving the ball.
If the Denver defense can force Tagovailoa to beat them, they might have a shot at pressuring him into mistakes, but that’s a big if.
The Dolphins are so strong against the spread this year, it’s hard to pick against them. If you don’t want to bet against the Broncos, look to the total points for some action.
Broncos vs. Dolphins Pick
Bite the bullet and take the Dolphins laying the points this weekend.
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