Frei: Going into final month, Avalanche effectively controls its own destiny. That’s a major “W.”

Terry Frei

7 years ago

When Filip Forbserg’s goal gave the Nashville Predators a 4-3 overtime win over the Avalanche Sunday afternoon, a couple of things about the reaction stuck with me.

One, there seemed to be at least a thousand gold-clad Predators fans again roaring and high-fiving.

In Denver, we’re used to transplant fans — whether of the instant lifelong variety or genuinely deep-rooted — of the Blackhawks, Rangers, Red Wings, Bruins … and more.

But with all due respect for one of the league’s most savvy organizations under the long-time leadership of David Poile, and for one of the most enjoyable game-night experiences in the league among terrific fans at Nashville …

Predators fans?

Really?

Here?

All those Predators fans have moved here, too?

One trip to the Stanley Cup Finals and then a terrific regular season in 2017-18 and it’s as if the Predators were in the so-called (but not really) Original Six.

(I apologize to the Predators fans who were in the Pepsi Center Sunday on the way to Vail or visiting for a weekend in Denver, perhaps to also see “Hamilton.”)

Second, the Avs acted as if it was a crushing defeat.

Which on the surface, it was.

It took Nashville defenseman Ryan Ellis’ soft goal with 1:06 left in regulation with goalie Pekka Rinne out to get it to overtime.

“We give ’em the shot we want,” Avalanche coach Jared Bednar said. “It’s a weak-side flank and finds its way through, it has eyes so that’s all you can do, just make sure you keep it on the perimeter and that’s a shot we’d like to give up if we’re going to give it up and it ends up in the back of the net.”

The Avs, now 35-24-6, had just lost to a Predators team that has won eight in a row and now has a comfortable lead over Winnipeg in the Central Division.

But the Avs went 3-0-1 in the homestand.

At the end of the Sunday games, the Anaheim Ducks had jumped into third in the Pacific Division. The Los Angeles Kings had dropped into the second wild-card playoff spot in the Western Conference, with 77 points. The Avalanche was one back. Only one.

“I’m pretty happy,” said Bednar. “I like the way we played. We played the right way again. A 60-minute game. . . It’s disappointing not to get the two (points) because I thought we played well enough to get the two.”

Here’s the important thing.

The Avs are going into the final 17 games effectively in control of their own destiny. That’s about all you can ask.

They have a game in hand on the Kings, plus on the pursuing Blues and Flames. It’s ridiculous to raise the possibility of the Avs winning out, of course, except as a measure of their placement in the pack.

The chances of that being the case heading into the final month of the season, given the Avalanche’s road-dominated schedule from late January to late February, seemed slight at one point.

“We came home and in the homestand, we got seven of eight points,” Bednar said. “Guys are playing the right way and we did a nice job, I thought. That’s a successful home stand, and now we have to go back on the road and make sure we’re mirroring what we’re doing . If we do that, we’ll be just fine.”

They’re going to pull it off. They’re going to finish ahead of Los Angeles, St. Louis and Calgary — and/or the other teams that could drop into the second wild-card race — and make the playoffs, where they most likely would face the Predators in the first round.

Yes, despite the absence of Erik Johnson with a separated shoulder, they’re going to make the playoffs. Nikita Zadorov, who had one of the Avalanche goals Sunday (above, celebrating with Gabe Landeskog), will need to meet the challenge in the top pairing. Semyon Varlamov will have to be more stingy than he was Sunday, of course, and the Nathan MacKinnon-centered top line will have to both be productive and get secondary scoring support.

But they’re going to make it.

Then the key then is not necessarily how far they advance, but whether they treat the franchise’s first playoff experience in four years as a key progressive step as the franchise seeks to get back among the league’s elite. Joe Sakic’s patient approach after coming to grips with the need to reboot will be rewarded. It will be an impressive case of patience leading to a quicker-than-thought-possible turnaround.

A year ago, this scenario seemed preposterous.

The Avs have a lot to play for in the final month.

* * *

Denver-based journalist Terry Frei writes two commentaries a week about the Avalanche for Mile High Sports. He has been named a state’s sports writer of the year seven times, four times in Colorado (including for 2016) and three times in Oregon. He’s the author of seven books, including the fact-based novel “Olympic Affair” about Colorado’s Glenn Morris, the 1936 Olympic decathlon champion; and “Third Down and a War to Go,” about the 1942 football national champion Wisconsin Badgers and the players’ subsequent World War II heroism. His web site is terryfrei.com and his additional “On the Colorado Scene” commentaries on subjects beyond the Avalanche are at terryfrei/oncolorado.

E-mail: terry@terryfrei.com

Twitter: @tfrei

Terry Frei’s MHS Commentary/Story Archive:

Is Duncan Siemens becoming more than an “organization” guy?

At least here, NHL trading deadline was much ado about very, very little

Avalanche standing pat wouldn’t be irresponsible inertia

If the NHL stays away again, USA Hockey should be all-collegians

Just your average Harvard guy from West Vancouver

As MacKinnon skates closer to return, Avs have stayed in the playoff hunt

Bowman Brothers Reunion with the Colorado Eagles in final season as Avs’ ECHL affiliate

The longer Bernier can hold the net, the better off the Avalanche will be

Magazine: Interview with DU local product — and Olympian — Troy Terry