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PrizePicks Cheat Sheet NFL Week 3: Top Picks & Hit Rates

Prize Picks NFL Cheat Sheet Week 3

Whether you’re a seasoned PrizePicks player or brand new to the platform, having a smart strategy is essential for maximizing your entries. Our PrizePicks Week 3 NFL cheat sheet breaks down the top player props, highlights the best opportunities on the board, and helps you avoid common mistakes. With so many matchups to kick off the season, this guide will put you in the best position to make confident picks right from the start.

PrizePicks Building Blocks for NFL Week 3

NFL Week 3 – 100% Anytime TD Streaks

PrizePicks NFL Week 3 Line Movement

Player Team Opp Date & Time Market Previous Line PrizePicks Change % Change
Daniel Jones IND @TEN Sun Sep 21 11:00 am Passing + Rushing Yards 229.5 239.5 10 4.4%
Jalen Hurts PHI LAR Sun Sep 21 11:00 am Passing + Rushing Yards 236.5 244.5 8 3.4%
Rashid Shaheed NO @SEA Sun Sep 21 2:05 pm Receiving Yards 37.5 45.5 8 21.3%
Keenan Allen LAC DEN Sun Sep 21 2:05 pm Receiving Yards 43.5 50.5 7 16.1%
Josh Jacobs GB @CLE Sun Sep 21 11:00 am Rushing + Receiving Yards 83.5 90.5 7 8.4%
Drake Maye NE PIT Sun Sep 21 11:00 am Passing Yards 221.5 227.5 6 2.7%
Josh Downs IND @TEN Sun Sep 21 11:00 am Receiving Yards 34.5 40.5 6 17.4%
Spencer Rattler NO @SEA Sun Sep 21 2:05 pm Passing + Rushing Yards 224.5 230.5 6 2.7%
Ladd McConkey LAC DEN Sun Sep 21 2:05 pm Receiving Yards 53.5 58.5 5 9.3%
Josh Jacobs GB @CLE Sun Sep 21 11:00 am Rushing Yards 71.5 76.5 5 7.0%
Stefon Diggs NE PIT Sun Sep 21 11:00 am Receiving Yards 37.5 42.5 5 13.3%
Breece Hall NYJ @TB Sun Sep 21 11:00 am Rushing Yards 52.5 56.5 4 7.6%
Kayshon Boutte NE PIT Sun Sep 21 11:00 am Receiving Yards 30.5 34.5 4 13.1%
Isiah Pacheco KC @NYG Sun Sep 21 6:20 pm Rushing Yards 36.5 40.5 4 11.0%
Rhamondre Stevenson NE PIT Sun Sep 21 11:00 am Rushing Yards 40.5 44.5 4 9.9%
Breece Hall NYJ @TB Sun Sep 21 11:00 am Receiving Yards 20.5 24.5 4 19.5%
Chase Brown CIN @MIN Sun Sep 21 11:00 am Rushing Yards 65.5 69.5 4 6.1%
Daniel Jones IND @TEN Sun Sep 21 11:00 am Passing Yards 206.5 210.5 4 1.9%
De’Von Achane MIA @BUF Today 6:15 pm Rushing + Receiving Yards 94.5 97.5 3 3.2%

 

This Week’s Top NFL Player Trends (Week 3)

Player Game Prop Outcome Odds IM Prob% L10 H2H DVP L5 DVP 2025
Lamar Jackson DET at BAL Passing TDs O1.5 -196 66.2% 100% (10/10) 50% (1/2) 80% (4/5) 100% (2/2)
Dyami Brown HOU at JAC Receptions O2.5 -196 66.2% 90% (9/10) 0% (0/1) 20% (1/5) 50% (1/2)
Tetairoa McMillan ATL at CAR Receptions O4.5 -182 64.5% 100% (2/2) — (0/0) 60% (3/5) 50% (1/2)
Baker Mayfield NYJ at TB Passing TDs O1.5 -167 62.5% 80% (8/10) 0% (0/1) 40% (2/5) 50% (1/2)
Ja’Marr Chase CIN at MIN Receptions O5.5 -162 61.8% 90% (9/10) 0% (0/2) 40% (2/5) 50% (1/2)
Ladd McConkey DEN at LAC Receptions O4.5 -156 60.9% 100% (10/10) 50% (1/2) 40% (2/5) 0% (0/2)
Jalen Hurts LA at PHI Touchdowns O0.5 -152 60.3% 80% (8/10) 50% (2/4) 20% (1/5) 0% (0/2)
Trevor Lawrence HOU at JAC Interceptions O0.5 -146 59.3% 80% (8/10) 75% (6/8) 20% (1/5) 0% (0/2)
David Njoku GB at CLE Receptions O3.5 -134 57.3% 80% (8/10) 0% (0/1) 80% (4/5) 100% (2/2)
Chase Brown CIN at MIN Longest Rec O8.5 -130 56.5% 80% (8/10) 100% (1/1) 40% (2/5) 50% (1/2)
J.K. Dobbins DEN at LAC Rushing Yards O49.5 -126 55.8% 80% (8/10) — (0/0) 40% (2/5) 0% (0/2)
Calvin Ridley IND at TEN Longest Rec O20.5 -125 55.6% 90% (9/10) 50% (2/4) 100% (5/5) 100% (2/2)

 

Key Tips for Building Your Entries

  1. Understand Game Scripts
    Consider how games are likely to play out. Will it be a high-scoring shootout or a defensive slugfest? Game scripts influence player performance, so align your picks with expected outcomes.
  2. Look for Consistent Performers
    Focus on players who have consistently hit their projected stats this season. This reduces risk and provides a reliable foundation for your picks.
  3. Use Recent Player Trends
    Analyze the last few weeks of data. Is a quarterback heating up? Is a running back facing a favorable defensive matchup? Tracking trends can help you spot value in player projections.
  4. Diversify Your Picks
    Avoid putting all your eggs in one basket. Spread your picks across multiple games and player types (passing, rushing, receiving, etc.) to mitigate risk.
  5. Leverage Injury Reports
    Late-breaking injury news can dramatically alter player projections. If a star player is ruled out, their backup often becomes a strong value play.

Common Mistakes to Avoid

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