Whether you’re a seasoned player or new to PrizePicks, having a strategic approach is essential for maximizing your entries. Week 12 brings plenty of opportunities to capitalize on player props, and this cheat sheet will help you make smart picks and avoid common pitfalls.
Key Tips for Building Your Entries
- Understand Game Scripts
Consider how games are likely to play out. Will it be a high-scoring shootout or a defensive slugfest? Game scripts influence player performance, so align your picks with expected outcomes. - Look for Consistent Performers
Focus on players who have consistently hit their projected stats this season. This reduces risk and provides a reliable foundation for your picks. - Use Recent Trends
Analyze the last few weeks of data. Is a quarterback heating up? Is a running back facing a favorable defensive matchup? Tracking trends can help you spot value in player projections. - Diversify Your Picks
Avoid putting all your eggs in one basket. Spread your picks across multiple games and player types (passing, rushing, receiving, etc.) to mitigate risk. - Leverage Injury Reports
Late-breaking injury news can dramatically alter player projections. If a star player is ruled out, their backup often becomes a strong value play.
| DFS PICK’EM APPS | NEW USER BONUS | PROMO CODE |
|---|---|---|
| Underdog Fantasy | $1,000 DEPOSIT BONUS | MHS3P |
| Sleeper Fantasy | $1500 DEPOSIT BONUS | MHS3P |
| PrizePicks | FREE $50 BONUS | MHS3P |
| Boom Fantasy | RISK-FREE $100 ENTRY | MHS3P |
Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Overloading on Stars: Big names don’t always meet projections, especially against tough defenses.
- Ignoring Weather: Rain, snow, or high winds can heavily impact passing and kicking props.
- Chasing Big Cards: Stick to manageable entries like 2- or 3-player for a higher chance of success.
PrizePicks Building Blocks for NFL Week 12
- Nico Collins (Texans): 50+ Receiving Yards – Hit Rate: 6/Last 6 Games
- DK Metcalf (Seahawks): 40+ Receiving Yards – Hit Rate: 7/Last 7 Games
- Brock Bowers (Raiders): 40+ Receiving Yards – Hit Rate: 9/Last 10 Games
- George Kittle (49ers): 40+ Receiving Yards – Hit Rate: 8/Last 8 Games
- Malik Nabers (Giants): 40+ Receiving Yards – Hit Rate: 8/Last 8 Games
- Justin Jefferson (Vikings): 5+ Receptions – Hit Rate: 8/Last 8 Games
- CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys): 5+ Receptions – Hit Rate: 7/Last 7 Games
- Derrick Henry (Titans): 60+ Rushing Yards – Hit Rate: 10/Last 10 Games
- Kyren Williams (Rams): 60+ Rushing Yards – Hit Rate: 8/Last 8 Games
- Josh Jacobs (Packers): 50+ Rushing Yards – Hit Rate: 9/Last 10 Games
- D’Andre Swift (Bears): 40+ Rushing Yards – Hit Rate: 7/Last 7 Games
- Chuba Hubbard (Panthers): 40+ Rushing Yards – Hit Rate: 9/Last 9 Games
- Lamar Jackson (Ravens): 200+ Passing Yards – Hit Rate: 7/Last 7 Games
- Derrick Henry (Titans): Anytime TD – Hit Rate: 11/Last 11 Games
- Joe Mixon (Texans): Anytime TD – Hit Rate: 7/Last 8 Games
- Amon-Ra St. Brown (Lions): Anytime TD – Hit Rate: 8/Last 8 Games
This Week’s Top NFL Player Trends (Week 12)
- Sam Darnold
- Prop: 231.5+ Passing Yards
- Trend: 100%
- Matchup: MIN @ CHI
- Chuba Hubbard
- Prop: 40+ Rushing Yards
- Trend: 100%
- Matchup: KAN @ CAR
- Jahmyr Gibbs
- Prop: 60+ Rushing Yards
- Trend: 100%
- Matchup: DET @ IND
- Josh Jacobs
- Prop: 60+ Rushing Yards
- Trend: 100%
- Matchup: SFO @ GNB
- Kyren Williams
- Prop: 60+ Rushing Yards
- Trend: 100%
- Matchup: PHI @ LAR
- Jordan Addison
- Prop: 2+ Receptions
- Trend: 100%
- Matchup: MIN @ CHI
- CeeDee Lamb
- Prop: 5.5+ Receptions
- Trend: 100%
- Matchup: DAL @ WAS
- Jonnu Smith
- Prop: 3+ Receptions
- Trend: 100%
- Matchup: NWE @ MIA
- Rachaad White
- Prop: 3+ Receptions
- Trend: 100%
- Matchup: TAM @ NYG
- Courtland Sutton
- Prop: 4+ Receptions
- Trend: 100%
- Matchup: DEN @ LVR
- Javonte Williams
- Prop: 2+ Receptions
- Trend: 100%
- Matchup: DEN @ LVR
- James Conner
- Prop: 2+ Receptions
- Trend: 100%
- Matchup: ARI @ SEA
- Christian McCaffrey
- Prop: 4+ Receptions
- Trend: 100%
- Matchup: SFO @ GNB
- Keenan Allen
- Prop: 25+ Receiving Yards
- Trend: 100%
- Matchup: MIN @ CHI
- Sam LaPorta
- Prop: 25+ Receiving Yards
- Trend: 100%
- Matchup: DET @ IND
- George Kittle
- Prop: 49.5+ Receiving Yards
- Trend: 100%
- Matchup: SFO @ GNB
- Matthew Stafford
- Prop: 238.5+ Passing Yards
- Trend: 80%
- Matchup: PHI @ LAR
- Justin Herbert
- Prop: 254.5+ Passing Yards
- Trend: 80%
- Matchup: BAL @ LAC
PrizePicks NFL Week 12 Line Movement
| Player | Team | Opp | Date & Time | Market | Previous Line | PrizePicks | Change | %Change |
| Quentin Johnston | LAC | BAL | Tomorrow 8:15 pm | Receiving Yards | 48.5 | 47.5 | -1 | 2.1% |
| Rachaad White | TB | @NYG | Today 1:00 pm | Receiving Yards | 21.5 | 20.5 | -1 | 4.7% |
| Jonnu Smith | MIA | NE | Today 1:00 pm | Receiving Yards | 38.5 | 37.5 | -1 | 2.6% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | @IND | Today 1:00 pm | Rushing + Receiving Yards | 87.5 | 88.5 | 1 | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Taylor | IND | DET | Today 1:00 pm | Rushing + Receiving Yards | 85.5 | 83.5 | -2 | 2.3% |
| Chuba Hubbard | CAR | KC | Today 1:00 pm | Rushing + Receiving Yards | 71.5 | 72.5 | 1 | 1.4% |
| Isaiah Likely | BAL | @LAC | Tomorrow 8:15 pm | Receiving Yards | 27.5 | 26.5 | -1 | 3.6% |
| Tyler Lockett | SEA | ARI | Today 4:25 pm | Receiving Yards | 36.5 | 37.5 | 1 | 2.7% |
| CeeDee Lamb | DAL | @WAS | Today 1:00 pm | Receiving Yards | 65.5 | 66.5 | 1 | 1.5% |
| Luke Schoonmaker | DAL | @WAS | Today 1:00 pm | Receiving Yards | 28.5 | 27.5 | -1 | 3.5% |
| Tyrone Tracy | NYG | TB | Today 1:00 pm | Rushing + Receiving Yards | 80.5 | 77.5 | -3 | 3.7% |
| Kenneth Walker | SEA | ARI | Today 4:25 pm | Receiving Yards | 22.5 | 21.5 | -1 | 4.4% |
| David Montgomery | DET | @IND | Today 1:00 pm | Rushing + Receiving Yards | 72.5 | 71.5 | -1 | 1.4% |
| Carson Steele | KC | @CAR | Today 1:00 pm | Rushing Yards | 12.5 | 10.5 | -2 | 16.0% |
| Ameer Abdullah | LV | DEN | Today 4:05 pm | Rushing + Receiving Yards | 54.5 | 57.5 | 3 | 5.5% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | NE | @MIA | Today 1:00 pm | Rushing + Receiving Yards | 71.5 | 74.5 | 3 | 4.2% |
| Brian Robinson | WAS | DAL | Today 1:00 pm | Rushing Yards | 72.5 | 73.5 | 1 | 1.4% |
| Patrick Mahomes | KC | @CAR | Today 1:00 pm | Passing Yards | 239.5 | 240.5 | 1 | 0.4% |
| Xavier Worthy | KC | @CAR | Today 1:00 pm | Receiving Yards | 32.5 | 33.5 | 1 | 3.1% |
