PrizePicks Cheat Sheet NFL Week 14: Top Picks & Hit Rates

Whether you’re a seasoned player or new to PrizePicks, having a strategic approach is essential for maximizing your entries. NFL Week 14 brings plenty of opportunities to capitalize on player props, and this cheat sheet will help you make smart picks and avoid common pitfalls.

PrizePicks Building Blocks for NFL Week 14

  1. C. Hubbard: 40+ Rushing Yards (11/11 Games)
  2. J. Conner: 2+ Receptions (8/8 Games)
  3. I. Pacheco: 40+ Rushing Yards (8/8 Games)
  4. S. Darnold: 225+ Passing Yards (7/7 Games)
  5. J. Hurts: 25+ Rushing Yards (6/6 Games)
  6. B. Robinson: 25+ Receiving Yards (6/6 Games)
  7. D. Hopkins: 25+ Receiving Yards (6/6 Games)
  8. T. Higgins: 50+ Receiving Yards (6/6 Games)
  9. J. Smith-Njigba: 50+ Receiving Yards (5/5 Games)
  10. J. Smith: 40+ Receiving Yards (5/5 Games)
  11. A. Brown: 60+ Receiving Yards (4/4 Games)
  12. D. Adams: 5+ Receptions (4/4 Games)

 

DFS PICK’EM APPS​ NEW USER BONUS​ PROMO CODE​
Underdog Fantasy $1,000 DEPOSIT BONUS MHS3P
Sleeper Fantasy $1500 DEPOSIT BONUS MHS3P
PrizePicks FREE $50 BONUS MHS3P
Boom Fantasy RISK-FREE $100 ENTRY MHS3P

This Week’s Top NFL Player Trends (Week 14)

NFL Player Streaks with 100% Hit Rates 🔥

  1. Bryce Young: Over 0.5 Pass TD vs PHI, hit in 5 of his last 5 games.
  2. Sam Darnold: Over 1.5 Pass TD vs ATL, hit in 3 of his last 3 games.
  3. Ray-Ray McCloud: Over 33.5 Rec Yds vs MIN, hit in 2 of his last 2 games.
  4. Jaylen Warren: Over 17.5 Rec Yds vs CLE, hit in 4 of his last 4 games.
  5. James Conner: Over 2.5 Receptions vs SEA, hit in 4 of his last 4 games.
  6. Kyler Murray: Over 220.5 Pass Yds vs SEA, hit in 3 of his last 3 games.
  7. Noah Fant: Over 2.5 Receptions @ ARI, hit in 5 of his last 5 games.
  8. Ty’Son Benson: Over 16.5 Rush Yds vs SEA, hit in 4 of his last 4 games.
  9. Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Over 66.5 Rec Yds @ ARI, hit in 5 of his last 5 games.
  10. Joe Burrow: Over 1.5 Pass TD @ DAL, hit in 4 of his last 4 games.
  11. Charlie Brown: Over 25.5 Rec Yds @ DAL, hit in 4 of his last 4 games.

 

Key Tips for Building Your Entries

  1. Understand Game Scripts
    Consider how games are likely to play out. Will it be a high-scoring shootout or a defensive slugfest? Game scripts influence player performance, so align your picks with expected outcomes.
  2. Look for Consistent Performers
    Focus on players who have consistently hit their projected stats this season. This reduces risk and provides a reliable foundation for your picks.
  3. Use Recent Trends
    Analyze the last few weeks of data. Is a quarterback heating up? Is a running back facing a favorable defensive matchup? Tracking trends can help you spot value in player projections.
  4. Diversify Your Picks
    Avoid putting all your eggs in one basket. Spread your picks across multiple games and player types (passing, rushing, receiving, etc.) to mitigate risk.
  5. Leverage Injury Reports
    Late-breaking injury news can dramatically alter player projections. If a star player is ruled out, their backup often becomes a strong value play.

Common Mistakes to Avoid

  • Overloading on Stars: Big names don’t always meet projections, especially against tough defenses.
  • Ignoring Weather: Rain, snow, or high winds can heavily impact passing and kicking props.
  • Chasing Big Cards: Stick to manageable entries like 2- or 3-player for a higher chance of success.

 

DFS PICK’EM APPS​ NEW USER BONUS​ PROMO CODE​
Underdog Fantasy $1,000 DEPOSIT BONUS MHS3P
Sleeper Fantasy $1500 DEPOSIT BONUS MHS3P
PrizePicks FREE $50 BONUS MHS3P
Boom Fantasy RISK-FREE $100 ENTRY MHS3P

PrizePicks NFL Week 14 Line Movement

Player Team Opp Date & Time Market Previous Line PrizePicks Change % Change
Tua Tagovailoa MIA NYJ Sun Dec 8 1:00 pm Rushing Yards 3.5 2.5 -1.0 28.6%
Elijah Moore CLE @PIT Sun Dec 8 1:00 pm Receiving Yards 50.5 51.5 1.0 2.0%
Nick Chubb CLE @PIT Sun Dec 8 1:00 pm Rushing Yards 40.5 38.5 -2.0 4.9%
Jaylen Warren PIT CLE Sun Dec 8 1:00 pm Rushing + Receiving Yards 56.5 55.5 -1.0 1.8%
Bijan Robinson ATL @MIN Sun Dec 8 1:00 pm Rushing Yards 65.5 64.5 -1.0 1.5%
Travis Etienne JAX @TEN Sun Dec 8 1:00 pm Rushing + Receiving Yards 51.5 53.5 2.0 3.9%
Chigoziem Okonkwo TEN JAX Sun Dec 8 1:00 pm Receiving Yards 23.5 22.5 -1.0 4.3%
Najee Harris PIT CLE Sun Dec 8 1:00 pm Rushing + Receiving Yards 76.5 77.5 1.0 1.3%
Saquon Barkley PHI CAR Sun Dec 8 1:00 pm Receiving Yards 16.5 17.5 1.0 6.1%
Geno Smith SEA @ARI Sun Dec 8 4:05 pm Pass Completions 23.5 23.0 -0.5 2.1%
Will Levis TEN JAX Sun Dec 8 1:00 pm Rushing Yards 19.5 18.5 -1.0 5.1%
Kyler Murray ARI SEA Sun Dec 8 4:05 pm Pass Completions 21.0 21.5 0.5 2.4%
Tony Pollard DAL @PHI Sun Dec 8 1:00 pm Rushing Yards 16.5 17.5 1.0 6.1%
Foster Moreau NO @NYG Sun Dec 8 1:00 pm Receiving Yards 18.5 16.5 -2.0 10.8%
Justin Watson KC @LAC Sun Dec 8 8:20 pm Receiving Yards 8.5 7.5 -1.0 11.8%
Evan Engram JAX @TEN Sun Dec 8 1:00 pm Receiving Yards 43.5 42.5 -1.0 2.3%
Xavier Worthy KC @LAC Sun Dec 8 8:20 pm Receiving Yards 38.5 36.5 -2.0 5.2%
Deebo Samuel SF CHI Sun Dec 8 4:25 pm Receiving Yards 40.5 44.5 4.0 9.9%
Bryce Young CAR @PHI Sun Dec 8 1:00 pm Rushing Yards 14.5 13.5 -1.0 6.9%
Tank Bigsby JAX @TEN Sun Dec 8 1:00 pm Rushing Yards 14.5 13.5 -1.0 6.9%
Bryce Young CAR @PHI Sun Dec 8 1:00 pm Pass Attempts 31.5 32.5 1.0 3.2%
Bijan Robinson ATL @MIN Sun Dec 8 1:00 pm Rushing + Receiving Yards 92.5 93.5 1.0 1.1%
Devon Achane MIA NYJ Sun Dec 8 1:00 pm Rushing Yards 91.5 92.5 1.0 1.1%
David Moore CAR @PHI Sun Dec 8 1:00 pm Receiving Yards 27.5 31.5 4.0 14.5%