PrizePicks Cheat Sheet NFL Week 15: Top Picks & Hit Rates

Whether you’re a seasoned player or new to PrizePicks, having a strategic approach is essential for maximizing your entries. NFL Week 15 brings plenty of opportunities to capitalize on player props, and this cheat sheet will help you make smart picks and avoid common pitfalls.

PrizePicks Building Blocks for NFL Week 15

  • 100% ALT Line Hit Rates
    • N. Harris: 50+ Rush+Rec Yds (17/17 Games)
    • I. Pacheco: 40+ Rush Yds (9/9 Games)
    • J. Warren: 2+ Receptions (8/8 Games)
    • D. Hopkins: 25+ Rec Yds (7/7 Games)
    • J. Hurts: 25+ Rush Yds (7/7 Games)
    • C. Stroud: 225+ Pass+Rush Yds (6/6 Games)
    • J. Smith: 40+ Rec Yds (6/6 Games)
    • J. Burrow: 225+ Pass Yds (6/6 Games)
    • J. Chase: 6+ Receptions (6/6 Games)
    • J. Winston: 200+ Pass Yds (6/6 Games)
    • A. St. Brown: 5+ Receptions (6/6 Games)
    • C. Brown: 25+ Rec Yds (5/5 Games)
  • Data from GYZR Markets

 

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Sleeper Fantasy PLAY $5, GET $55 FREE MHS3P
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This Week’s Top NFL Player Trends (Week 15)

NFL Player Streaks with 100% Hit Rates 🔥

  • B. Thomas (JAX vs NYJ):
    • Over 62.5 Rec Yds (-120)
    • Hit 3/3 (100%)
  • C. Brown (CIN @ TEN):
    • Over 0.5 Anytime TD (-195)
    • Hit 2/2 (100%)
  • J. Chase (CIN @ TEN):
    • Over 0.5 Anytime TD (-150) | Hit 4/4 (100%)
    • Over 85.5 Rec Yds (-115) | Hit 2/2 (100%)
  • N. Collins (HOU vs MIA):
    • Over 88.5 Rec Yds (-114)
    • Hit 2/2 (100%)
  • T. Hill (MIA @ HOU):
    • Over 0.5 Anytime TD (+125)
    • Hit 2/2 (100%)
  • T. Tagovailoa (MIA @ HOU):
    • Over 265.5 Pass Yds (-114)
    • Hit 4/4 (100%)
  • D. Achane (MIA @ HOU):
    • Over 33.5 Rec Yds (-114) | Hit 2/2 (100%)
    • Over 0.5 Anytime TD (+100) | Hit 4/4 (100%)
  • Z. Ertz (WAS @ NO):
    • Over 33.5 Rec Yds (-115)
    • Hit 3/3 (100%)
  • J. Burrow (CIN @ TEN):
    • Over 275.5 Pass Yds (-115)
    • Hit 4/4 (100%)
  • J. Ford (CLE vs KC):
    • Over 24.5 Rush Yds (-115) | Hit 2/2 (100%)
    • Over 17.5 Rec Yds (-110) | Hit 2/2 (100%)
  • X. Worthy (KC @ CLE):
    • Over 39.5 Rec Yds (-115)
    • Hit 4/4 (100%)
  • J. Allen (BUF @ DET):
    • Over 0.5 Anytime TD (+115)
    • Hit 4/4 (100%)
  • M. Hollins (BUF @ DET):
    • Over 0.5 Anytime TD (+350)
    • Hit 2/2 (100%)
  • A. Richardson (IND @ DEN):
    • Over 46.5 Rush Yds (-115)
    • Hit 2/2 (100%)
  • J. Hurts (PHI vs PIT):
    • Over 0.5 Anytime TD (-110)
    • Hit 2/2 (100%)
  • S. Barkley (PHI vs PIT):
    • Over 99.5 Rush Yds (-114)
    • Hit 4/4 (100%)
  • K. Gainwell (PHI vs PIT):
    • Over 11.5 Rush Yds (-114)
    • Hit 4/4 (100%)
  • Data from GYZR Markets

 

 

Key Tips for Building Your Entries

  1. Understand Game Scripts
    Consider how games are likely to play out. Will it be a high-scoring shootout or a defensive slugfest? Game scripts influence player performance, so align your picks with expected outcomes.
  2. Look for Consistent Performers
    Focus on players who have consistently hit their projected stats this season. This reduces risk and provides a reliable foundation for your picks.
  3. Use Recent Player Trends
    Analyze the last few weeks of data. Is a quarterback heating up? Is a running back facing a favorable defensive matchup? Tracking trends can help you spot value in player projections.
  4. Diversify Your Picks
    Avoid putting all your eggs in one basket. Spread your picks across multiple games and player types (passing, rushing, receiving, etc.) to mitigate risk.
  5. Leverage Injury Reports
    Late-breaking injury news can dramatically alter player projections. If a star player is ruled out, their backup often becomes a strong value play.

Common Mistakes to Avoid

  • Overloading on Stars: Big names don’t always meet projections, especially against tough defenses.
  • Ignoring Weather: Rain, snow, or high winds can heavily impact passing and kicking props.
  • Chasing Big Cards: Stick to manageable entries like 2 or 3 player for a higher chance of success.

 

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Sleeper Fantasy PLAY $5, GET $55 FREE MHS3P
PrizePicks FREE $50 BONUS MHS3P
Boom Fantasy RISK-FREE $100 ENTRY MHS3P

PrizePicks NFL Week 15 Line Movement

Player Team Opp Date & Time Market Previous Line PrizePicks Change % Change
Mac Jones NE NYJ Sun Dec 15 1:00 pm Rushing Yards 6.5 5.5 -1.0 15.4%
Juwan Johnson NO WAS Sun Dec 15 1:00 pm Receiving Yards 32.5 31.5 -1.0 3.1%
Parker Washington JAX NYJ Sun Dec 15 1:00 pm Receiving Yards 27.5 28.5 1.0 3.6%
Kenneth Gainwell PHI PIT Sun Dec 15 4:25 pm Rushing Yards 11.5 10.5 -1.0 8.7%
Jerome Ford CLE KC Sun Dec 15 1:00 pm Rushing + Receiving Yards 43.5 46.5 3.0 6.9%
Derrick Henry BAL @NYG Sun Dec 15 1:00 pm Rushing + Receiving Yards 107.5 106.5 -1.0 0.9%
Russell Wilson PIT @PHI Sun Dec 15 4:25 pm Rushing Yards 9.5 8.5 -1.0 10.5%
Chase Brown CIN @TEN Sun Dec 15 1:00 pm Rushing + Receiving Yards 100.5 102.5 2.0 2.0%
Tyler Conklin NYJ JAX Sun Dec 15 1:00 pm Receiving Yards 21.5 20.5 -1.0 4.7%
Allen Lazard NYJ JAX Sun Dec 15 1:00 pm Receiving Yards 22.5 23.5 1.0 4.4%
Rico Dowdle DAL @CAR Sun Dec 15 1:00 pm Rushing Yards 85.5 84.5 -1.0 1.2%
Jordan Love GB @SEA Sun Dec 15 8:20 pm Passing Yards 237.5 236.5 -1.0 0.4%
Joe Burrow CIN @TEN Sun Dec 15 1:00 pm Pass Attempts 37.5 37.0 -0.5 1.3%
Alvin Kamara NO @PHI Sun Dec 15 1:00 pm Rushing + Receiving Yards 108.5 111.5 3.0 2.8%
Josh Jacobs GB @SEA Sun Dec 15 8:20 pm Receiving Yards 14.5 13.5 -1.0 6.9%
A.J. Brown PHI PIT Sun Dec 15 4:25 pm Receiving Yards 77.5 80.5 3.0 3.9%
Evan Engram JAX NYJ Sun Dec 15 1:00 pm Receiving Yards 42.5 41.5 -1.0 2.4%
Kyler Murray ARI NE Sun Dec 15 4:25 pm Pass Attempts 30.5 30.0 -0.5 1.6%
Joe Burrow CIN @TEN Sun Dec 15 1:00 pm Passing Yards 279.5 278.5 -1.0 0.4%
Saquon Barkley PHI PIT Sun Dec 15 4:25 pm Rushing Yards 97.5 100.5 3.0 3.1%
Brian Robinson WAS @NO Sun Dec 15 1:00 pm Rushing + Receiving Yards 85.5 86.5 1.0 1.2%
Chris Boswell PIT @PHI Sun Dec 15 4:25 pm Kicking Points 6.5 6.0 -0.5 7.7%
Rhamondre Stevenson NE @ARI Sun Dec 15 4:25 pm Rushing + Receiving Yards 67.5 65.5 -2.0 3.0%
JuJu Smith-Schuster KC @CLE Sun Dec 15 1:00 pm Receiving Yards 16.5 15.5 -1.0 6.1%