PrizePicks Cheat Sheet NFL Week 17: Top Picks & Hit Rates

Whether you’re a seasoned player or new to PrizePicks, having a strategic approach is essential for maximizing your entries. NFL Week 17 brings plenty of opportunities to capitalize on player props, and this cheat sheet will help you make smart picks and avoid common pitfalls.

PrizePicks Building Blocks for NFL Week 17

Top TNF Props Bears vs. Seahawks​🔥

 

  • D. Moore (Bears): 6+ Receptions, 5/L5
  • N. Fant (Seahawks): 3+ Receptions, 5/L5
  • R. Odunze (Bears): 25+ Receiving Yards, 5/L5
  • A. Barner (Seahawks): 1+ Receptions, 5/L5
  • D. Swift (Bears): 1+ Receptions, 5/L5
  • J. Smith-Njigba (Seahawks): 4+ Receptions, 5/L5
  • R. Odunze (Bears): 2+ Receptions, 5/L5
  • D. Moore (Bears): 7+ Receptions, 4/L5
  • K. Allen (Bears): 70+ Receiving Yards, 4/L5
  • J. Smith-Njigba (Seahawks): 70+ Receiving Yards, 5/L5
  • D. Moore (Bears): 40+ Receiving Yards, 5/L5
  • C. Williams (Bears): 1+ Pass TDs, 5/L5
  • D. Metcalf (Seahawks): 3+ Receptions, 5/L5
  • D. Metcalf (Seahawks): 25+ Receiving Yards, 5/L5
  • K. Allen (Bears): 25+ Receiving Yards, 5/L5
  • K. Allen (Bears): 1+ Anytime TDs, 4/L5
  • C. Williams (Bears): 2+ Pass TDs, 4/L5
  • C. Williams (Bears): 25+ Rush Yards, 4/L5

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This Week’s Top NFL Player Trends (Week 17)

NFL Player Streaks with 100% Hit Rates 🔥

  • B. Mayfield (TB): Over 1.5 Pass TD (-184) – Hit in 3/3 games
  • R. White (TB): Over 59.5 Rush + Rec Yds (-117) – Hit in 4/4 games
  • R. White (TB): Over 16.5 Rec Yds (-115) – Hit in 3/3 games
  • D. Lock (NYG): Over 186.5 Pass Yds (-115) – Hit in 2/2 games
  • J. Taylor (IND): Over 100.5 Rush Yds (-115) – Hit in 2/2 games
  • M. Rudolph (TEN): Over 1.5 Pass TD (+140) – Hit in 3/3 games
  • M. Jones (JAX): Over 213.5 Pass Yds (-115) – Hit in 4/4 games
  • B. Thomas (JAX): Over 78.5 Rec Yds (-115) – Hit in 3/3 games
  • B. Mayfield (TB): Over 14.5 Rush Yds (-120) – Hit in 2/2 games
  • B. Mayfield (TB): Over 248.5 Pass Yds (-114) – Hit in 3/3 games
  • A. Jones (MIN): Over 65.5 Rush Yds (-117) – Hit in 3/3 games
  • A. Jones (MIN): Over 18.5 Rec Yds (-113) – Hit in 2/2 games
  • J. Jefferson (MIN): Over 6.5 Receptions (-113) – Hit in 4/4 games
  • T. Kraft (GB): Over 31.5 Rec Yds (-117) – Hit in 4/4 games
  • J. Jacobs (MIN): Over 17.5 Rec Yds (-117) – Hit in 2/2 games
  • A. Jones (MIN): Over 86.5 Rush + Rec Yds (-117) – Hit in 2/2 games
  • J. Jacobs (MIN): Over 91.5 Rush + Rec Yds (-117) – Hit in 2/2 games
  • J. Nailer (GB): Over 0.5 Receptions (-214) – Hit in 4/4 games
  • J. Addison (MIN): Over 4.5 Receptions (+108) – Hit in 3/3 games
  • J. Daniels (WAS): Over 1.5 Pass TD (-105) – Hit in 4/4 games

 

 

PrizePicks NFL Week 17 Line Movement

Player Team Opp Date & Time Market Previous Line PrizePicks Change % Change
AJ Barner SEA @CHI Today 8:15 pm Receiving Yards 9.5 10.5 1.0 10.5%
Kayshon Boutte NE LAC Sat Dec 28 1:00 pm Receiving Yards 37.5 39.5 2.0 5.3%
Tyreek Hill MIA @CLE Sun Dec 29 4:05 pm Receiving Yards 58.5 59.5 1.0 1.7%
Tua Tagovailoa MIA @CLE Sun Dec 29 4:05 pm Passing Yards 232.5 231.5 -1.0 0.4%
De’Von Achane MIA @CLE Sun Dec 29 4:05 pm Rushing + Receiving Yards 98.5 99.5 1.0 1.0%
Rachaad White TB @CAR Sun Dec 29 1:00 pm Rushing Yards 40.5 42.5 2.0 4.9%
Ladd McConkey LAC @NE Sat Dec 28 1:00 pm Receiving Yards 72.5 71.5 -1.0 1.4%
De’Von Achane MIA @CLE Sun Dec 29 4:05 pm Rushing Yards 59.5 58.5 -1.0 1.7%
Kendrick Bourne NE LAC Sat Dec 28 1:00 pm Receiving Yards 23.5 22.5 -1.0 4.3%
D’Andre Swift CHI SEA Today 8:15 pm Rushing + Receiving Yards 74.5 75.5 1.0 1.3%
Michael Wilson ARI @LAR Sat Dec 28 8:10 pm Receiving Yards 30.5 29.5 -1.0 3.3%
Kyren Williams LAR ARI Sat Dec 28 8:10 pm Rushing + Receiving Yards 105.5 106.5 1.0 0.9%
De’Von Achane MIA @CLE Sun Dec 29 4:05 pm Receiving Yards 35.5 36.5 1.0 2.8%
Trey McBride ARI @LAR Sat Dec 28 8:10 pm Receiving Yards 61.5 62.5 1.0 1.6%
Rome Odunze CHI SEA Today 8:15 pm Receiving Yards 42.5 43.5 1.0 2.4%
Rachaad White TB @CAR Sun Dec 29 1:00 pm Rushing + Receiving Yards 59.5 60.5 1.0 1.7%
Zach Charbonnet SEA @CHI Today 8:15 pm Rushing + Receiving Yards 95.5 96.5 1.0 1.0%
Zach Charbonnet SEA @CHI Today 8:15 pm Rushing Yards 23.5 24.5 1.0 4.1%
DK Metcalf SEA @CHI Today 8:15 pm Receiving Yards 62.5 61.5 -1.0 1.6%
DK Metcalf SEA @CHI Today 8:15 pm Fantasy Score 13.0 13.5 0.5 3.8%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @CHI Today 8:15 pm Fantasy Score 15.5 16.0 0.5 3.2%
Noah Fant SEA @CHI Today 8:15 pm Receiving Yards 32.5 30.5 -2.0 6.2%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA @CHI Today 8:15 pm Receiving Yards 73.5 74.5 1.0 1.4%
Ja’Marr Chase CIN DEN Sat Dec 28 4:30 pm Receiving Yards 93.5 92.5 -1.0 1.1%

 

 

Key Tips for Building Your Entries

  1. Understand Game Scripts
    Consider how games are likely to play out. Will it be a high-scoring shootout or a defensive slugfest? Game scripts influence player performance, so align your picks with expected outcomes.
  2. Look for Consistent Performers
    Focus on players who have consistently hit their projected stats this season. This reduces risk and provides a reliable foundation for your picks.
  3. Use Recent Player Trends
    Analyze the last few weeks of data. Is a quarterback heating up? Is a running back facing a favorable defensive matchup? Tracking trends can help you spot value in player projections.
  4. Diversify Your Picks
    Avoid putting all your eggs in one basket. Spread your picks across multiple games and player types (passing, rushing, receiving, etc.) to mitigate risk.
  5. Leverage Injury Reports
    Late-breaking injury news can dramatically alter player projections. If a star player is ruled out, their backup often becomes a strong value play.

Common Mistakes to Avoid

  • Overloading on Stars: Big names don’t always meet projections, especially against tough defenses.
  • Ignoring Weather: Rain, snow, or high winds can heavily impact passing and kicking props.
  • Chasing Big Cards: Stick to manageable entries like 2 or 3 player for a higher chance of success.