Whether you’re a seasoned player or new to PrizePicks, having a strategic approach is essential for maximizing your entries. NFL Week 18 brings a Saturday and Sunday slate, along with plenty of opportunities to capitalize on player props. This cheat sheet will help you make smart picks and avoid common pitfalls.
PrizePicks Building Blocks for NFL Week 18
Steelers vs. Bengals Prop Bet Trends & Hit Rates (Saturday) 🔥
J. Warren (PIT) vs CIN
• Over 38.5 Rush Yds (‐114) — Hit 2/2
• Over 21.5 Rec Yds (‐114) — Hit 2/2
• Over 3.5 Receptions (+116) — Hit 2/2
• Over 63.5 Rush+Rec (‐118) — Hit 2/2
N. Harris (PIT) vs CIN
• Over 13.5 Rush Att (+102) — Hit 15/20
• Over 48.5 Rush Yds (‐114) — Hit 8/11
• Over 6.5 Rec Yds (‐114) — Hit 13/18
• Over 58.5 Rush+Rec (‐114) — Hit 14/20
G. Pickens (PIT) vs CIN
• Over 67.5 Rec Yds (‐114) — Hit 5/7
J. Burrow (CIN) @ PIT
• Over 2.5 Pass TD (+162) — Hit 8/8
• Over 8.5 Rush Yds (‐120) — Hit 2/2
• Over 284.5 Pass Yds (‐114) — Hit 5/7
T. Higgins (CIN) @ PIT
• Over 0.5 Anytime TD (‐110) — Hit 3/3
J. Chase (CIN) @ PIT
• Over 92.5 Rec Yds (‐114) — Hit 4/4
• Over 7.5 Receptions (‐108) — Hit 3/4
• Over 0.5 Anytime TD (‐150) — Hit 10/14
A. Iosivas (CIN) @ PIT
• Over 26.5 Rec Yds (‐114) — Hit 2/2
• Over 2.5 Receptions (+114) — Hit 2/2
C. Brown (CIN) @ PIT
• Over 0.5 Anytime TD (‐115) — Hit 9/13
M. Gesicki (CIN) @ PIT
• Over 2.5 Receptions (‐128) — Hit 4/5
Browns vs. Ravens Prop Bet Hit Rate Streaks (Saturday)🔥
- M. Andrews vs. CLE: Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-115), hit in 2 of his last 2 games (100%).
- D. Henry vs. CLE: Over 88.5 Rushing Yards (-120), hit in 2 of his last 2 games (100%).
- M. Andrews vs. CLE: Over 0.5 Anytime TD (+145), hit in 5 of his last 5 games (100%).
- L. Jackson vs. CLE: Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-142), hit in 5 of his last 5 games (100%).
- I. Likely vs. CLE: Over 0.5 Anytime TD (+230), hit in 2 of his last 2 games (100%).
- J. Jeudy @ BAL: Over 49.5 Receiving Yards (-115), hit in 8 of his last 9 games (89%).
- D. Henry vs. CLE: Over 0.5 Anytime TD (-230), hit in 13 of his last 17 games (76%).
- R. Bateman vs. CLE: Over 0.5 Anytime TD (+205), hit in 3 of his last 4 games (75%).
- L. Jackson vs. CLE: Over 208.5 Passing Yards (-117), hit in 8 of his last 12 games (67%).
- D. Njoku @ BAL: Over 0.5 Anytime TD (+475), hit in 2 of his last 3 games (67%).
| DFS PICK’EM APPS | NEW USER BONUS | PROMO CODE |
|---|---|---|
| Underdog Fantasy | $1,000 DEPOSIT BONUS | MHS3P |
| Sleeper Fantasy | PLAY $5, GET $55 FREE | MHS3P |
| PrizePicks | FREE $50 BONUS | MHS3P |
| Dabble Fantasy | $25 FREE – NO DEPOSIT | HITSTICK👈 |
This Week’s Top NFL Player Trends (Saturday Week 18)
NFL Player Streaks With High Hit Rates 🔥
- Ja’Marr Chase: 70+ Receiving Yards (7/7 Games)
- Tee Higgins: 50+ Receiving Yards (9/10 Games)
- George Pickens: 40+ Receiving Yards (8/8 Games)
- Jerry Jeudy: 40+ Receiving Yards (8/9 Games)
- Mark Andrews: 25+ Receiving Yards (10/12 Games)
- Ja’Marr Chase: 6+ Receptions (9/9 Games)
- Pat Freiermuth: 3+ Receptions (6/6 Games)
- Chase Brown: 50+ Rush Yards (7/8 Games)
- Najee Harris: 40+ Rush Yards (14/16 Games)
- Jaylen Warren: 25+ Rush Yards (8/10 Games)
- Joe Burrow: 250+ Pass Yards (8/8 Games)
- Lamar Jackson: 175+ Pass Yards (11/12 Games)
- Joe Burrow: 2+ Pass TDs (8/8 Games)
- Lamar Jackson: 2+ Pass TDs (11/13 Games)
- Mark Andrews: Anytime TD (9/11 Games)
- Tee Higgins: Anytime TD (6/7 Games)
- Data from GYZR Markets
PrizePicks NFL Week 18 Line Movement
| Player | Team | Opp | Date & Time | Market | Previous Line | PrizePicks | Change | % Change |
| Elijah Moore | CLE | @BAL | Sat Jan 4 4:30 pm | Receiving Yards | 25.5 | 26.5 | 1 | 3.9% |
| Aaron Jones | MIN | @DET | Sun Jan 5 8:20 pm | Receiving Yards | 21.5 | 20.5 | -1 | 4.7% |
| Lamar Jackson | BAL | CLE | Sat Jan 4 4:30 pm | Rushing Yards | 46.5 | 45.5 | -1 | 2.2% |
| Jerry Jeudy | CLE | @BAL | Sat Jan 4 4:30 pm | Receiving Yards | 53.5 | 51.5 | -2 | 3.7% |
| Malik Nabers | NYG | @PHI | Sun Jan 5 1:00 pm | Receiving Yards | 69.5 | 70.5 | 1 | 1.4% |
| Drew Lock | NYG | @PHI | Sun Jan 5 1:00 pm | Passing Yards | 191.5 | 193.5 | 2 | 1.0% |
| George Pickens | PIT | CIN | Sat Jan 4 8:00 pm | Receiving Yards | 66.5 | 65.5 | -1 | 1.5% |
| Calvin Austin | PIT | CIN | Sat Jan 4 8:00 pm | Receiving Yards | 31.5 | 30.5 | -1 | 3.2% |
| Pat Freiermuth | PIT | CIN | Sat Jan 4 8:00 pm | Receiving Yards | 32.5 | 33.5 | 1 | 3.1% |
| Zach Charbonnet | SEA | @LAR | Sun Jan 5 4:25 pm | Rushing Yards | 59.5 | 58.5 | -1 | 1.7% |
| Jaylen Warren | PIT | CIN | Sat Jan 4 8:00 pm | Rushing Yards | 21.5 | 20.5 | -1 | 4.7% |
| Najee Harris | PIT | CIN | Sat Jan 4 8:00 pm | Rushing Yards | 7.5 | 6.5 | -1 | 13.3% |
| Najee Harris | PIT | CIN | Sat Jan 4 8:00 pm | Rushing + Receiving Yards | 57.5 | 55.5 | -2 | 3.5% |
| Garrett Wilson | NYJ | MIA | Sun Jan 5 4:25 pm | Receiving Yards | 56.5 | 55.5 | -1 | 1.8% |
| Cole Kmet | CHI | @GB | Sun Jan 5 1:00 pm | Receiving Yards | 16.5 | 15.5 | -1 | 6.1% |
| Mike Evans | TB | @NO | Sun Jan 5 1:00 pm | Receiving Yards | 97.5 | 98.5 | 1 | 1.0% |
| Jaylen Warren | PIT | CIN | Sat Jan 4 8:00 pm | Rushing + Receiving Yards | 64.5 | 65.5 | 1 | 1.6% |
| Brian Thomas | JAX | @IND | Sun Jan 5 1:00 pm | Receiving Yards | 85.5 | 86.5 | 1 | 1.2% |
| Davante Adams | NYJ | MIA | Sun Jan 5 4:25 pm | Receiving Yards | 66.5 | 67.5 | 1 | 1.5% |
| Jaylen Warren | PIT | CIN | Sat Jan 4 8:00 pm | Rushing Yards | 39.5 | 40.5 | 1 | 2.5% |
| Mark Andrews | BAL | CLE | Sat Jan 4 4:30 pm | Receiving Yards | 35.5 | 36.5 | 1 | 2.8% |
| Terry McLaurin | WAS | @DAL | Sun Jan 5 1:00 pm | Receiving Yards | 66.5 | 67.5 | 1 | 1.5% |
| Justin Jefferson | MIN | @DET | Sun Jan 5 8:20 pm | Receiving Yards | 91.5 | 92.5 | 1 | 1.1% |
| Zay Flowers | BAL | CLE | Sat Jan 4 4:30 pm | Receiving Yards | 57.5 | 58.5 | 1 | 1.7% |
Key Tips for Building Your Entries
- Understand Game Scripts
Consider how games are likely to play out. Will it be a high-scoring shootout or a defensive slugfest? Game scripts influence player performance, so align your picks with expected outcomes. - Look for Consistent Performers
Focus on players who have consistently hit their projected stats this season. This reduces risk and provides a reliable foundation for your picks. - Use Recent Player Trends
Analyze the last few weeks of data. Is a quarterback heating up? Is a running back facing a favorable defensive matchup? Tracking trends can help you spot value in player projections. - Diversify Your Picks
Avoid putting all your eggs in one basket. Spread your picks across multiple games and player types (passing, rushing, receiving, etc.) to mitigate risk. - Leverage Injury Reports
Late-breaking injury news can dramatically alter player projections. If a star player is ruled out, their backup often becomes a strong value play.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Overloading on Stars: Big names don’t always meet projections, especially against tough defenses.
- Ignoring Weather: Rain, snow, or high winds can heavily impact passing and kicking props.
- Chasing Big Cards: Stick to manageable entries like 2 or 3 player for a higher chance of success.
| DFS PICK’EM APPS | NEW USER BONUS | PROMO CODE |
|---|---|---|
| Underdog Fantasy | $1,000 DEPOSIT BONUS | MHS3P |
| Vivid Picks | $300 DEPOSIT BONUS | MHS3P |
| PrizePicks | FREE $50 BONUS | MHS3P |
| Dabble Fantasy | $25 FREE – NO DEPOSIT | HITSTICK👈 |
