So far, the 2016 NFL season has been the year of the unexpected quarterback.
Most experts expected the Denver Broncos to be starting Mark Sanchez in the offseason, but Trevor Siemian won the job instead.
Rookie Carson Wentz was named the starter in Philadelphia when the Eagles shipped off starter Sam Bradford, who took over for an injured Teddy Bridgewater in Minnesota.
Bridgewater isn’t the only quarterback missing time.
Tony Romo broke a bone in his back, but the Dallas Cowboys have been playing well with rookie Dak Prescott.
Brian Hoyer has been at least respectable while replacing Jay Cutler in Chicago, though he broke his arm on Thursday night.
Backups Colin Kaepernick, Cody Kessler, Paxton Lynch, Derek Anderson, Jimmy Garoppolo, and Jacoby Brissett have all started games this year while their starters were out for various reasons.
And this week, the Pittsburgh Steelers will be without the services of Ben Roethlisberger, who is having knee surgery and hopes to be back very soon. Landry Jones will get the start for the Steelers on Sunday against the New England Patriots.
All of these changes can make it challenging to consistently pick winning teams.
Fortunately, we’ve got you covered.
Let’s take a look at some of the best opportunities for you to make some money this week!
Record last week 1-2
Overall: 3-3
My pick: Houston Texans +8.5 at Denver Broncos
The Denver Broncos are officially struggling after dropping their second game in a row to the San Diego Chargers last Thursday.
And while I do expect them to bounce back with a victory this week, 8.5 points may be a little too much.
Texans quarterback Brock Osweiler has struggled at times this season, throwing eight touchdowns and eight interceptions, but he will be looking to show Denver they made a mistake in letting him go.
The Broncos offense is still looking for some consistency, as they have struggled to run the football, and the Houston defense has been solid against the run.
I see the Broncos defense getting back on track this week, with the Denver offense doing just enough to get the win.
My pick: New England Patriots -7 at Pittsburgh Steelers
I don’t like picking a road team to cover this many points, but this might be a unique situation.
Since returning from his four-game suspension for his role in “Deflategate,” Patriots quarterback Tom Brady has been on a tear. In just two games, Brady has already thrown for nearly 800 yards and six touchdowns. And it doesn’t bode well for Pittsburgh that their defense is allowing nearly 300 yards passing per game.
Add into the mix the fact that the Steelers will not have their starting quarterback, Ben Roethlisberger, and backup Landry Jones will be getting the start instead. In his two-year career, Jones has thrown just three touchdowns to four interceptions.
This game could get out of hand if Jones can’t keep up with Brady — hint: he can’t.
My pick: Seattle Seahawks +2 at Arizona Cardinals
Yes, the Seattle Seahawks needed some help from the NFL officials last Sunday to hold off the Atlanta Falcons at home, but Arizona’s offense isn’t nearly as potent as Atlanta’s.
The Seahawks defense did still manage to hold Matt Ryan’s No.1 ranked offense to just 24 points last week, and they should be able to keep Carson Palmer under wraps for the most part this week.
So far this season, Palmer has struggled to connect on the deep ball like he did last year. As a result, he is averaging just 7.29 yards per pass attempt with only seven touchdowns to five interceptions.
And despite the slow start, Russell Wilson and the Seattle offense seem to be getting better each week.
The Seahawks can do more than just cover these two points; they have a good chance to win outright.
Don’t touch: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1 at San Francisco 49ers
Look, I don’t have any idea who is going to win this game between two of the worst teams in the league.
Both teams rank near the bottom of nearly every statistical category on both sides of the ball.
The bottom line is that you do not want to put up any real money on this game, so that you would be inclined to have to actually watch it.
Do you really want to tune in to see San Francisco’s 32nd ranked offense going against Tampa’s 27th ranked defense?
We didn’t think so.