If you’re looking for a real chance at a nice pay day, new customers can grab an exclusive welcome offer ahead of today’s World Cup matches. By registering here with the Kalshi promo code MILE15, you can unlock a sweet $15 bonus after making just $10 in trades.
I’m placing these trades myself, and this promotion is absolutely perfect for handicapping a jam-packed schedule. We’ve got major matchups like Australia versus the USA, Morocco against Scotland, Haiti taking on Brazil, and Paraguay facing Turkiye. This flexible bonus can be fired off across the entire slate, meaning we can use it on any World Cup match today or any other match later this week.
Kalshi Promo Code MILE15: Upgraded $15 Bonus
| Kalshi Promo Code | MILE15 |
|---|---|
| New User Offer | $15 Bonus |
| Terms and Conditions | 18+ and Present in the US |
| Date Last Verified | June 19, 2026 |
Details of the Welcome Offer
To get in on the action, we just need to make a first-time deposit of at least $1 and place $10 in trades on Kalshi’s prediction markets. Once you’ve made those $10 in trades, your $15 bonus will be available. Kalshi is available to residents in all 50 states, and you just need to be at least 18 years of age to jump in.
Once unlocked, we can use this bonus on any of the day’s World Cup matches. It’s an ideal setup for tackling the full slate of round two matchups, allowing new users to engage with a variety of international contests rather than putting all their eggs in one basket.
Whether you are keying in on Australia taking on the USA, looking for an angle in Morocco facing Scotland, banking on Haiti challenging Brazil, or handicapping Paraguay against Turkiye, this welcome offer provides the flexibility to explore the entire tournament schedule.
Today’s Win Probabilities
When I’m handicapping the day’s slate to figure out where to place my initial trades, I always start by looking at the expected outcomes. The table below outlines the 3-way win probabilities for Friday’s games
| Home Team | Away Team | Home Win % | Draw % | Away Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | Australia | 58.5% | 23.1% | 18.3% |
| Scotland | Morocco | 17.1% | 26.2% | 56.7% |
| Brazil | Haiti | 87.3% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Turkiye | Paraguay | 46.4% | 28.0% | 25.6% |
This data gives us a clear picture of how each matchup is expected to unfold—focusing strictly on percentages rather than confusing odds. For example, Brazil enters their clash with Haiti as a massive favorite to win outright, while contests like Turkiye versus Paraguay project a much tighter affair.
All of these probabilities offer valuable context when deciding how to best deploy your trades on Kalshi. Once you have navigated the predictions and locked in your first $10 in trades, your $15 Kalshi sign-up bonus will be fully unlocked and ready to use on these exact matches.
Kalshi Promo Code Guide for New Customers
Create and register a new account here by providing standard personal information and submitting the required proof of ID to verify your identity. Crucially, when prompted during the registration process, ensure you enter the Kalshi promo code MILE15.
Then, make a first-time deposit of at least $1. To activate the offer and unlock your $15 sign-up bonus, you must execute $10 worth of trades on Kalshi’s markets. You don’t have to make a single heavy trade worth $10 to qualify; instead, a cumulative sum of $10 across multiple smaller trades will perfectly fulfill the requirement and trigger the release of your bonus funds.
You have complete freedom to chase bigger payouts. The bonus can be used on any of today’s World Cup matches, or any other World Cup match this week—you are never restricted to just one game.
Whether you want to split your bonus across the USA facing Australia in Seattle, Scotland hosting Morocco in Foxborough, Brazil matching up against Haiti in Philadelphia, or Turkiye playing Paraguay in Santa Clara, this offer allows you to dive into the entire tournament schedule exactly how you choose.
