Whether you’re a seasoned player or new to PrizePicks, having a strategic approach is essential for maximizing your entries. This Sunday, the NFC and AFC Championship games will bring the most betting action of the entire season, along with plenty of opportunities to capitalize on player props.
This cheat sheet will help you make smart picks and avoid common pitfalls when making selections for the Commanders vs. Eagles and Bills vs. Chiefs.
PrizePicks Building Blocks for NFC & AFC Title Games
🔥Commanders vs. Eagles Prop Streaks Jan. 26th
1️⃣ Jalen Hurts:
Over 29.5 Rush Yards (-114)
✅ Hit in 5/5 recent games.
2️⃣ Saquon Barkley:
Over 24.5 Rush Attempts (-128)
✅ Hit in 4/4 recent games.
3️⃣ J. Dotson:
Over 3.5 Rec Yards (-115) ✅ Hit in 2/2 recent games.
Over 0.5 Receptions (-135) ✅ Hit in 2/2 recent games.
4️⃣ Dallas Goedert:
Over 3.5 Receptions (-140) ✅ Hit in 3/3 recent games.
Over 37.5 Rec Yards (-114) ✅ Hit in 3/3 recent games.
5️⃣ D. Brown:
Over 3.5 Receptions (-140) ✅ Hit in 2/2 recent games.
6️⃣ B. Robinson:
Over 9.5 Rush Attempts (+105) ✅ Hit in 2/2 recent games.
7️⃣ Terry McLaurin:
Over 64.5 Rec Yards (-114) ✅ Hit in 2/2 recent games.
Over 0.5 Anytime TD (+145) ✅ Hit in 3/3 recent games.
8️⃣ Jayden Daniels:
– Over 10.5 Rush Attempts (-104) ✅ Hit in 2/2 recent games.
– 21.5 Pass Completions (-104) ✅ Hit in 2/2 recent games.
– 223.5 Pass Yards (-114) ✅ Hit in 2/2 recent games.
– Over 1.5 Pass TDs (+142) ✅ Hit in 2/2 recent games.
🔥Top Bills vs. Chiefs Prop Trends – AFC Championship
| Props | Odds | L5 (%) | L10 (%) |
| Josh Allen · BUF @ KC Under 31.5 Passing Attempts | -120 | 100% | 60% |
| Josh Allen · BUF @ KC Under 20.5 Passing Completions | -130 | 100% | 60% |
| Josh Allen · BUF @ KC Under 49.5 Rushing Yards | -115 | 100% | 60% |
| DeAndre Hopkins · BUF @ KC Under 14.5 Longest Reception | -120 | 80% | 60% |
| Travis Kelce · BUF @ KC Under 20.5 Longest Reception | -104 | 80% | 60% |
| Josh Allen · BUF @ KC Under 285.5 Pass + Rush Yds | -114 | 80% | 50% |
| Samaje Perine · BUF @ KC Over 8.5 Receiving Yards | -115 | 80% | 80% |
| Amari Cooper · BUF @ KC Under 17.5 Receiving Yards | -110 | 80% | 60% |
| Isiah Pacheco · BUF @ KC Under 6.5 Receiving Yards | -120 | 80% | 50% |
| Kareem Hunt · BUF @ KC Under 1.5 Receptions | -150 | 80% | 60% |
| Isiah Pacheco · BUF @ KC Under 1.5 Receptions | -155 | 80% | 50% |
| Curtis Samuel · BUF @ KC Over 1.5 Receptions | -110 | 80% | 60% |
| Xavier Worthy · BUF @ KC Over 4.5 Receptions | -150 | 80% | 60% |
| Patrick Mahomes · BUF @ KC Under 24.5 Rushing Yards | -114 | 80% | 80% |
| Isiah Pacheco · BUF @ KC Under 34.5 Rushing Yards | -115 | 80% | 40% |
| James Cook · BUF @ KC Over 0.5 Touchdowns | 130 | 80% | 80% |
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This Week’s Top NFL Player Trends (1/26/25)
NFL Player Props Top Hit Rate Streaks 🔥
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Jayden Daniels (Wash) – 175+ Passing YDS, Trend: 17/L17
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Dawson Knox (Bills) – 1+ Receptions, Trend: 13/L13
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Jalen Hurts (Eagles) – 25+ Rushing YDS, Trend: 11/L11
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Xavier Worthy (Chiefs) – 40+ Receiving YDS, Trend: 8/L8
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Devonta Smith (Eagles) – 3+ Receptions, Trend: 7/L7
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Dyami Brown (Wash) – 2+ Receptions, Trend: 6/L6
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Dallas Goedert (Eagles) – 3+ Receptions, Trend: 6/L6
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Saquon Barkley (Eagles) – 100+ Rushing YDS, Trend: 4/L4
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Khalil Shakir (Bills) – 25+ Receiving YDS, Trend: 3/L3
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Terry McLaurin (Wash) – 50+ Receiving YDS, Trend: 3/L3
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Travis Kelce (Chiefs) – 5+ Receptions, Trend: 3/L3
PrizePicks NFL Line Movement This Week 📊
| Player | Team | Market | Previous Line | PrizePicks | Change | % Change |
| Xavier Worthy | KC | Receiving Yards | 49.5 | 48.5 | -1 | 2.0% |
| Noah Gray | KC | Targets | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 25.0% |
| Travis Kelce | KC | Receiving Yards | 70.5 | 69.5 | -1 | 1.4% |
| Jalen Hurts | PHI | Rushing Yards | 29.5 | 31.5 | 2 | 6.8% |
| Mack Hollins | BUF | Receiving Yards | 15.5 | 13.5 | -2 | 12.9% |
| Terry McLaurin | WAS | Receiving Yards | 64.5 | 65.5 | 1 | 1.6% |
| Dallas Goedert | PHI | Receptions | 3.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 14.3% |
| Noah Gray | KC | Receiving Yards | 16.5 | 14.5 | -2 | 12.1% |
| Dyami Brown | WAS | Receiving Yards | 42.5 | 44.5 | 2 | 4.7% |
| Austin Ekeler | WAS | Rushing Yards | 21.5 | 19.5 | -2 | 9.3% |
| Jamison Crowder | WAS | Receiving Yards | 10.5 | 11.5 | 1 | 9.5% |
| Khalil Shakir | BUF | Receiving Yards | 57.5 | 56.5 | -1 | 1.7% |
| Curtis Samuel | KC | Receiving Yards | 14.5 | 15.5 | 1 | 6.9% |
| Isiah Pacheco | KC | Rushing Yards | 34.5 | 32.5 | -2 | 5.8% |
| Austin Ekeler | WAS | Receiving Yards | 26.5 | 24.5 | -2 | 7.5% |
| Saquon Barkley | WAS | Rushing + Receiving Yards | 146.5 | 147.5 | 1 | 0.7% |
| Saquon Barkley | WAS | Rushing Yards | 127.5 | 129.5 | 2 | 1.6% |
| Josh Allen | BUF | Passing Yards | 229.5 | 230.5 | 1 | 0.4% |
| Jayden Daniels | WAS | Pass Completions | 20.5 | 21.0 | 0.5 | 2.4% |
| Dallas Goedert | PHI | Receiving Yards | 39.5 | 38.5 | -1 | 2.5% |
| Samaje Perine | KC | Receiving Yards | 10.5 | 8.5 | -2 | 19.0% |
| DeAndre Hopkins | BUF | Receiving Yards | 26.5 | 24.5 | -2 | 7.5% |
| Terry McLaurin | WAS | Fantasy Score | 14.5 | 14.0 | -0.5 | 3.4% |
| Austin Ekeler | WAS | Fantasy Score | 9.5 | 9.0 | -0.5 | 5.3% |
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Key Tips for Building Your Entries
- Understand Game Scripts
Consider how games are likely to play out. Will it be a high-scoring shootout or a defensive slugfest? Game scripts influence player performance, so align your picks with expected outcomes. - Look for Consistent Performers
Focus on players who have consistently hit their projected stats this season. This reduces risk and provides a reliable foundation for your picks. - Use Recent Player Trends
Analyze the last few weeks of data. Is a quarterback heating up? Is a running back facing a favorable defensive matchup? Tracking trends can help you spot value in player projections. - Diversify Your Picks
Avoid putting all your eggs in one basket. Spread your picks across multiple games and player types (passing, rushing, receiving, etc.) to mitigate risk. - Leverage Injury Reports
Late-breaking injury news can dramatically alter player projections. If a star player is ruled out, their backup often becomes a strong value play.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Overloading on Stars: Big names don’t always meet projections, especially against tough defenses.
- Ignoring Weather: Rain, snow, or high winds can heavily impact passing and kicking props.
- Chasing Big Cards: Stick to manageable entries like 2 or 3 player for a higher chance of success.
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