Whether you’re a seasoned PrizePicks player or brand new to the platform, having a smart strategy is essential for maximizing your entries. Our PrizePicks Week 1 NFL cheat sheet breaks down the top player props, highlights the best opportunities on the board, and helps you avoid common mistakes. With so many matchups to kick off the season, this guide will put you in the best position to make confident picks right from the start.
PrizePicks Building Blocks for NFL Week 1
🏈 Cowboys vs. Eagles ALT Line Trends
Eagles
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Saquon Barkley: 50+ Rush Yds ✅ 15/15
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DeVonta Smith: 4+ Receptions ✅ 9/9
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Dallas Goedert: 2+ Receptions ✅ 9/9
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Dallas Goedert: 25+ Receiving Yds ✅ 6/6
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Jalen Hurts: 175+ Pass Yds ✅ 2/2
Cowboys
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Javonte Williams: 1+ Reception ✅ 18/18
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Dak Prescott: 175+ Pass Yds ✅ 11/11
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CeeDee Lamb: 50+ Receiving Yds ✅ 3/3
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CeeDee Lamb: 6+ Receptions ✅ 3/3
This Week’s Top NFL Player Trends (Week 1)
Wide Receiver Prop Streaks
🔥 100% hit rates
K. Allen: 25+ Yds ➡️ 13/13
C. Ridley: 40+ Yds ➡️ 12/12
A. St. Brown: 5+ Catches ➡️ 11/11
L. McConkey: 50+ Yds ➡️ 11/11
P. Nacua: 5+ Catches ➡️ 10/10
X. Worthy: 40+ Yds ➡️ 10/10
M. Nabers: 50+ Yds ➡️ 10/10
J. Chase: 6+ Catches ➡️ 10/10
A. Thielen: 20+ Yds ➡️ 10/10
D. Adams: 4+ Catches ➡️ 10/10
💪 Quarterback Streaks
🔥 100% hit rates
J. Goff: 200+ Yds ➡️ 10/10
J. Burrow: 250+ Yds ➡️ 9/9
K. Murray: 200+ Yds ➡️ 8/8
B. Nix: 20+ Rush Yds ➡️ 5/5
G. Smith: 5+ Rush Yds ➡️ 4/4
J. Herbert: 225+ Yds ➡️ 4/4
J. Daniels: 200+ Yds ➡️ 3/3
J. Allen: 30+ Rush Yds ➡️ 3/3
J. Flacco: 200+ Yds ➡️ 3/3
S. Rattler: 150+ Yds ➡️ 3/3
🏈 NFL Week 1 – 100% TD Streaks
J. Jacobs: Anytime TD ✅ 9/9
J. Gibbs: Anytime TD ✅ 6/6
D. Henry: Anytime TD ✅ 4/4
T. McLaurin: Anytime TD ✅ 4/4
J. Hurts: Anytime TD ✅ 3/3
B. Robinson: Anytime TD ✅ 3/3
J. Taylor: Anytime TD ✅ 3/3
A. Brown: Anytime TD ✅ 2/2
A. Jones: Anytime TD ✅ 2/2 vs CHI
J. Chase: Anytime TD ✅ 2/2 vs CLE
(Data from CLEATZ.com)
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PrizePicks NFL Week 1 Line Movement
| Player | Team | Opp | Date | Market | Prev.Line | PrizePicks | Change | %Change |
| Jonathan Taylor | IND | MIA | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Rushing Yards | 78.5 | 76.5 | -2 | 2.5% |
| Patrick Mahomes | KC | @LAC | Tomorrow 6:00 pm | Rushing Yards | 17.5 | 15.5 | -2 | 11.4% |
| Tyreek Hill | MIA | @IND | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Receiving Yards | 70.5 | 67.5 | -3 | 4.3% |
| Aaron Rodgers | PIT | @NYJ | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Passing Yards | 203.5 | 202.5 | -1 | 0.5% |
| Drake London | ATL | TB | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Receiving Yards | 78.5 | 75.5 | -3 | 3.8% |
| Jaylen Waddle | MIA | @IND | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Receiving Yards | 57.5 | 56.5 | -1 | 1.7% |
| Michael Penix | ATL | TB | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Passing + Rushing Yards | 240.5 | 239.5 | -1 | 0.4% |
| Alec Pierce | IND | MIA | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Receiving Yards | 22.5 | 24.5 | 2 | 8.9% |
| Bijan Robinson | ATL | TB | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Receiving Yards | 23.5 | 21.5 | -2 | 8.5% |
| Saquon Barkley | PHI | DAL | Today 6:20 pm | Rushing + Receiving Yards | 110.5 | 114.5 | 4 | 3.6% |
| Kyler Murray | ARI | @NO | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Passing Yards | 222.5 | 218.5 | -4 | 1.8% |
| Jonnu Smith | PIT | @NYJ | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Receiving Yards | 26.5 | 27.5 | 1 | 3.8% |
| Christian Kirk | HOU | @LAR | Sun Sep 7 2:25 pm | Receiving Yards | 42.5 | 41.5 | -1 | 2.4% |
| CeeDee Lamb | DAL | @PHI | Today 6:20 pm | Receiving Yards | 71.5 | 72.5 | 1 | 1.4% |
| Elic Ayomanor | TEN | @DEN | Sun Sep 7 2:05 pm | Receiving Yards | 19.5 | 20.5 | 1 | 5.1% |
| Matthew Golden | GB | DET | Sun Sep 7 2:25 pm | Receiving Yards | 48.5 | 47.5 | -1 | 2.1% |
| Courtland Sutton | DEN | TEN | Sun Sep 7 2:05 pm | Receiving Yards | 59.5 | 58.5 | -1 | 1.7% |
| Xavier Legette | CAR | @JAX | Sun Sep 7 11:00 am | Receiving Yards | 37.5 | 36.5 | -1 | 2.7% |
| J.J. McCarthy | MIN | @CHI | Mon Sep 8 6:15 pm | Passing Yards | 220.5 | 221.5 | 1 | 0.5% |
Key Tips for Building Your Entries
- Understand Game Scripts
Consider how games are likely to play out. Will it be a high-scoring shootout or a defensive slugfest? Game scripts influence player performance, so align your picks with expected outcomes. - Look for Consistent Performers
Focus on players who have consistently hit their projected stats this season. This reduces risk and provides a reliable foundation for your picks. - Use Recent Player Trends
Analyze the last few weeks of data. Is a quarterback heating up? Is a running back facing a favorable defensive matchup? Tracking trends can help you spot value in player projections. - Diversify Your Picks
Avoid putting all your eggs in one basket. Spread your picks across multiple games and player types (passing, rushing, receiving, etc.) to mitigate risk. - Leverage Injury Reports
Late-breaking injury news can dramatically alter player projections. If a star player is ruled out, their backup often becomes a strong value play.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Overloading on Stars: Big names don’t always meet projections, especially against tough defenses.
- Ignoring Weather: Rain, snow, or high winds can heavily impact passing and kicking props.
- Chasing Big Cards: Stick to manageable entries like 2 or 3 player for a higher chance of success.
