PrizePicks Cheat Sheet NFL Week 7: Top Picks & Hit Rates

Betting & Fantasy
1 day ago//MHS Picks

Whether you’ve been grinding PrizePicks since dial-up internet or you just downloaded the app because your buddy swore it’s “free money,” you’ll want an actual strategy if you plan on cashing tickets. Our PrizePicks Week 7 NFL cheat sheet does the heavy lifting, spotting the juiciest props, flashing the biggest edges, and steering you clear of those picks that look smart until your QB decides to cosplay as Zach Wilson. With a jam-packed slate, this guide is your best shot at pretending you totally knew that line was a lock all along.

PrizePicks NFL Line Movement This Week

Player Team Opp Date Market Prev. Line PrizePicks Change %Change
Jayden Daniels WAS @DAL Sun Oct 19 2:25 pm Passing Yards 227.5 235.5 8 3.5%
Tutu Atwell LAR @JAX Sun Oct 19 7:30 am Receiving Yards 26.5 33.5 7 26.4%
Jared Goff DET TB Mon Oct 20 5:00 pm Passing Yards 248.5 255.5 7 2.8%
Justin Fields NYJ CAR Sun Oct 19 11:00 am Passing + Rushing Yards 216.5 222.5 6 2.8%
Saquon Barkley PHI @MIN Sun Oct 19 11:00 am Rushing Yards 66.5 71.5 5 7.5%
Justin Fields NYJ CAR Sun Oct 19 11:00 am Passing Yards 171.5 176.5 5 2.9%
Geno Smith LV @KC Sun Oct 19 11:00 am Passing Yards 200.5 205.5 5 2.5%
Dyami Brown JAX LAR Sun Oct 19 7:30 am Receiving Yards 21.5 25.5 4 18.6%
De’Von Achane MIA @CLE Sun Oct 19 11:00 am Rushing + Receiving Yards 96.5 100.5 4 4.1%
Kimani Vidal LAC IND Sun Oct 19 2:05 pm Receiving Yards 9.5 13.5 4 42.1%
Kenneth Walker SEA HOU Mon Oct 20 8:00 pm Rushing Yards 46.5 49.5 3 6.5%
Jalen Hurts PHI @MIN Sun Oct 19 11:00 am Passing Yards 206.5 209.5 3 1.5%
Woody Marks HOU @SEA Mon Oct 20 8:00 pm Receiving Yards 12.5 15.5 3 24.0%
DeVonta Smith PHI @MIN Sun Oct 19 11:00 am Receiving Yards 47.5 50.5 3 6.3%
Jordan Whittington LAR @JAX Sun Oct 19 7:30 am Receiving Yards 37.5 40.5 3 8.0%
Geno Smith LV @KC Sun Oct 19 11:00 am Passing + Rushing Yards 215.5 218.5 3 1.4%
Sam Darnold SEA HOU Mon Oct 20 8:00 pm Passing Yards 229.5 232.5 3 1.3%
Rashee Rice KC LV Sun Oct 19 11:00 am Receiving Yards 62.5 65.5 3 4.8%
Baker Mayfield TB @DET Mon Oct 20 5:00 pm Passing Yards 242.5 245.5 3 1.2%

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This Week’s Top NFL PrizePicks Selections:

🏈 QB Props

  • Sam Darnold O35.5 Long Comp (6/6 hit)

  • Baker Mayfield O1.5 Pass TDs (9/10 hit)

  • Tua Tagovailoa O1.5 Pass TDs (4/5 hit)

  • Spencer Rattler O206.5 Pass Yds (5/6 hit)

  • Justin Herbert O0.5 INT (4/5 hit)

💪 RB Props

  • Jahmyr Gibbs O89.5 Rush+Rec Yds (5/5 hit)

  • J. Gibbs 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs (5/5 hit)

  • Cam Skattebo O55.5 Rush Yds (4/5 hit)

  • C. Skattebo O80.5 Rush+Rec Yds (4/5 hit)

  • J. Williams O68.5 Rush Yds (4/5 hit)

🎯 WR/TE Props

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown O6.5 Recs (5/5 hit)

  • A. St. Brown O22.5 Long Rec (5/5 hit)

  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba O26.5 Long Rec (6/6 hit)

  • Ja’Marr Chase O23.5 Long Rec (5/5 hit)

  • Tee Higgins 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs (5/5 hit)

  • Travis Kelce O17.5 Long Rec (8/10 hit)

  • Tetairoa McMillan O21.5 Long Rec (4/5 hit)

🔥 Other Trends

  • Terry McLaurin 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs (8/10 hit)

  • Michael Penix Jr. O4.5 Long Rush (4/5 hit)

  • D. Achane 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs (5/6 hit)

NFL Week 7 – TD Scored Streaks 

1️⃣ D. Metcalf — Anytime TD (4 straight)
2️⃣ D. Achane — Anytime TD (3 straight)
3️⃣ J. Chase — Anytime TD (2 straight)
4️⃣ K. Williams — Anytime TD (2 straight)
5️⃣ J. Taylor — Anytime TD (2 straight)
6️⃣ J. Smith-Njigba — Anytime TD (2 straight)
7️⃣ J. Hurts — Anytime TD (7 of last 9)
8️⃣ N. Collins — Anytime TD (3 of last 4)
9️⃣ J. Dobbins — Anytime TD (4 of last 6)
🔟 R. Rice — Anytime TD (2 of last 3)

 

Key Tips for Building Your Entries

  1. Understand Game Scripts
    Consider how games are likely to play out. Will it be a high-scoring shootout or a defensive slugfest? Game scripts influence player performance, so align your picks with expected outcomes.
  2. Look for Consistent Performers
    Focus on players who have consistently hit their projected stats this season. This reduces risk and provides a reliable foundation for your picks.
  3. Use Recent Player Trends
    Analyze the last few weeks of data. Is a quarterback heating up? Is a running back facing a favorable defensive matchup? Tracking trends can help you spot value in player projections.
  4. Diversify Your Picks
    Avoid putting all your eggs in one basket. Spread your picks across multiple games and player types (passing, rushing, receiving, etc.) to mitigate risk.
  5. Leverage Injury Reports
    Late-breaking injury news can dramatically alter player projections. If a star player is ruled out, their backup often becomes a strong value play.

Common Mistakes to Avoid

  • Overloading on Stars: Big names don’t always meet projections, especially against tough defenses.
  • Ignoring Weather: Rain, snow, or high winds can heavily impact passing and kicking props.
  • Chasing Big Cards: Stick to manageable entries like 2 or 3 player for a higher chance of success.